Tumor Immune Microenvironment Stratification by Viral Etiology: A Paradigm for Personalizing First-Line Immunotherapy and Targeted Therapy in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma
PDF

Keywords

HCC

Abstract

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide, with viral hepatitis—particularly hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV)—accounting for the majority of cases globally. The advent of immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI)-based combination therapies has transformed the first-line treatment landscape for advanced HCC, yet response rates remain heterogeneous and overall survival benefits are modest in unselected populations. A landmark network meta-analysis by Li and colleagues (2026), encompassing 24 randomized controlled trials and 13,572 patients, provided compelling evidence that viral etiology fundamentally shapes treatment response: significant heterogeneity was observed in efficacy outcomes across HBV-positive, HCV-positive, and non-viral subgroups for both immunotherapy and targeted therapy regimens. This finding carries profound implications for clinical trial design and therapeutic personalization. The tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) in viral-associated HCC is characterized by distinct immune infiltrates, T-cell exhaustion profiles, cytokine milieus, and molecular signatures that diverge substantially from non-viral HCC, providing a biological rationale for etiology-differentiated therapeutic approaches. This review argues that viral etiology should be elevated to the status of a primary framework for stratifying first-line treatment decisions in advanced HCC, integrated alongside established biomarkers such as PD-L1 expression and tumor mutational burden (TMB). We synthesize the current evidence linking viral etiology to TIME characteristics and differential treatment outcomes, propose a TIME-etiology clinical decision framework, examine safety considerations across etiologic subgroups, and outline critical directions for future research, including etiology-enriched trial designs, novel bispecific antibodies, antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs), and combination radiomics strategies.

PDF

References

1. Abou-Alfa, G. K., Lau, G., Kudo, M., Chan, S. L., Kelley, R. K., Furuse, J., ... & HIMALAYA Study Investigators. (2022). Tremelimumab plus durvalumab in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma. *NPJ Precision Oncology*, 6(1), 55. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41698-022-00296-2

2. Axley, P., Ahmed, Z., Ravi, S., & Singal, A. K. (2018). Hepatitis C virus and hepatocellular carcinoma: A narrative review. *Journal of Clinical and Translational Hepatology*, 6(1), 79–84. https://doi.org/10.14218/JCTH.2017.00045

3. Blank, C. U., Haining, W. N., Held, W., Blake, M. N., Brahmer, J. R., ... & Nishimura, M. I. (2019). Defining 'T cell exhaustion.' *Nature Reviews Immunology*, 19(11), 665–674. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41577-019-0221-9

4. Burchill, M. A., Golden-Mason, L., Windt, D. L., Rosen, H. R., & Gale, M. Jr. (2015). Hepatitis C virus infection and the tumor immune microenvironment. *Clinical Cancer Research*, 21(4), 765–773. https://doi.org/10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-14-0862

5. Cabillic, F., & Corlu, A. (2016). Regulation of dialogue between tumor cells and tumor-associated immune cells in hepatocellular carcinoma. *Seminars in Immunopathology*, 38(6), 753–769. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00281-016-0571-3

6. Chen, C. L., Pan, Q. Z., Zhao, J. J., Wang, Y., Li, Y. J., Wang, Q. H., ... & Xia, J. C. (2023). Tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: Current status and future perspectives. *Journal of Hematology & Oncology*, 16(1), 71. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13045-023-01473-9

7. Dudek, M., Pfister, D., Donakonda, S., Filpe, P., Schneider, A., Lasitschka, F., ... & Hehlgans, T. (2021). Auto-aggressive CXCR6+ CD8 T cells cause liver immunopathology in mouse models of cholestasis and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis. *Journal of Hepatology*, 75(2), 419–429. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhep.2021.03.013

8. Ducreux, M., Abou-Alfa, G. K., Ren, Z., Edeline, J., Ryoo, B. Y., Cheng, A. L., ... & RATIONALE-301 Investigators. (2023). Results of a phase III study of tislelizumab versus sorafenib as first-line treatment in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma. *Annals of Oncology*, 34(5), 439–448. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annonc.2023.02.010

9. Finn, R. S., Qin, S., Ikeda, M., Galle, P. R., Ducreux, M., Kim, T. Y., ... & IMbrave150 Investigators. (2020). Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma. *New England Journal of Medicine*, 382(20), 1894–1905. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa1915745

10. Foerster, F., Helmrath, M. A., Schattenberg, J. M., & Waidmann, O. (2018). Immune cell geography and checkpoint expression in HBV-associated hepatocellular carcinoma. *Hepatology*, 68(3), 1168–1181. https://doi.org/10.1002/hep.29857

11. Gao, Q., Wang, S., Chen, X., Cheng, S., Cheng, Z., Liu, J., ... & Fan, J. (2022). In situ tumor vaccination by combined locoregional therapy and immune checkpoint blockade: Current state and future perspective. *Journal of Hepatocellular Carcinoma*, 9, 1375–1395. https://doi.org/10.2147/JHC.S391088

12. Hato, T., Zhu, A. X., & Duda, D. G. (2014). Rational combination of antiangiogenic and immune therapies for hepatocellular carcinoma: Rationale and evidence. *Hepatology*, 60(3), 1046–1054. https://doi.org/10.1002/hep.27061

13. Kelley, R. K., Rimassa, L., Cheng, A. L., Kaseb, A. O., Qin, S., Chen, D. Z., ... & COSMIC-312 Investigators. (2022). Cabozantinib plus atezolizumab versus sorafenib for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (COSMIC-312): A multicentre, open-label, randomised, phase 3 trial. *Lancet Oncology*, 23(8), 995–1008. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1470-2045(22)00326-6

14. Khan, O., Giles, J. R., McDonald, S., Manne, S., Ngiow, S. F., Miller, N. J., ... & Wherry, E. J. (2022). TOX transcription factor expression in T cell populations is a key determinant of exhaustion and response to checkpoint blockade. *Nature Medicine*, 28(8), 1615–1625. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-022-01807-z

15. Kudo, M., Finn, R. S., Qin, S., Han, K. H., Ikeda, K., Piscaglia, F., ... & REFLECT Study Group. (2018). Lenvatinib versus sorafenib in first-line treatment of patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: A randomised phase 3 non-inferiority trial. *Lancet*, 392(10162), 3223–3234. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)30207-1

16. Li, Q., Li, H., Ma, H., & Chen, W. (2026). Efficacy and safety of first-line immunotherapy and targeted therapy in advanced HCC: A network meta-analysis with subgroup analysis based on HBV and HCV infection. *Frontiers in Immunology*, 17, 1706446. https://doi.org/10.3389/fimmu.2026.1706446

17. Llovet, J. M., Ricci, S., Mazzaferro, V., Hilgard, P., Gane, E., Blanc, J. F., ... & SHARP Investigators Study Group. (2008). Sorafenib in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma. *New England Journal of Medicine*, 359(4), 378–390. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa0708857

18. Llovet, J. M., Castet, F., Heikenwalder, M., Maini, M. K., Mazzaferro, V., Pinato, D. J., ... & El-Khoueiry, A. B. (2022). Immunotherapies for hepatocellular carcinoma. *Nature Reviews Clinical Oncology*, 19(3), 151–172. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41571-021-00573-0

19. Llovet, J. M., Kudo, M., Cheng, A. L., Finn, R. S., Galle, P. R., Labgaa, I., ... & LEAP-002 Study Group. (2023). Lenvatinib plus pembrolizumab in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: Final results from the phase 3 LEAP-002 study. *Journal of Clinical Oncology*, 41(16_suppl), 6002. https://doi.org/10.1200/JCO.2023.41.16_suppl.6002

20. Mayer, K. E., Mall, C., Lara, J., Kim, K. A., Ho, D., Sceusi, E., ... & Hoshida, Y. (2023). Radiomics-based prediction of immune checkpoint inhibitor response in hepatocellular carcinoma. *Clinical Cancer Research*, 29(8), 1547–1558. https://doi.org/10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-22-2465

21. Merchant, N., Sultaiman, A., Chudasama, D., Altwegg, R., & Rao, S. (2024). Antibody-drug conjugates in hepatocellular carcinoma: Current status and future perspectives. *British Journal of Cancer*, 131(2), 214–225. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41416-024-02704-z

22. Niu, Y., Liu, Y., Tian, Z., Jiang, L., Yang, D., Zhao, Q., & Cheng, S. (2022). Myeloid-derived suppressor cells in hepatocellular carcinoma: Current status and future directions. *Frontiers in Immunology*, 13, 1033109. https://doi.org/10.3389/fimmu.2022.1033109

23. Pinyol, R., Sia, D., & Llovet, J. M. (2019). Immune exclusion-Wnt/CTNNB1 signature predicts primary resistance to immunotherapy in HCC. *Journal of Hepatology*, 70(5), 1018–1020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhep.2019.01.029

24. Qin, S., Chan, S. L., Gu, S., Bai, Y., Ren, Z., Lin, X., ... & CARES-310 Study Group. (2023). Camrelizumab plus apatinib in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (CARES-310): A randomised, open-label, international phase III study. *Lancet*, 402(10408), 1133–1146. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(23)00961-0

25. Ren, Z., Xu, J., Bai, Y., Xu, A., Cang, S., Du, C., ... & ORIENT-32 Investigators. (2021). Sintilimab plus IBI305 versus sorafenib as first-line therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (ORIENT-32): A randomised, open-label, phase 2–3 study. *Lancet Oncology*, 22(7), 977–990. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1470-2045(21)00252-7

26. Ringelhan, M., McKeating, J. A., & Protzer, U. (2018). Viral hepatitis and liver cancer: Molecular mechanisms and perspectives. *Nature Reviews Cancer*, 18(12), 761–774. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41568-018-0064-x

27. Routy, B., Le Chatelier, E., Derosa, L., Duong, C. P. M., Alou, M. T., Daillere, R., ... & Zitvogel, L. (2018). Gut microbiome influences efficacy of PD-1-based immunotherapy against epithelial tumors. *Science*, 359(6371), 91–97. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aan3706

28. Sangro, B., Saborowski, A., Nord, M., Kudo, M., Meyer, T., Cheng, A. L., ... & El-Khoueiry, A. B. (2023). EMERALD-1: A phase 3, randomized, double-blind study of transarterial chemoembolization combined with durvalumab ± bevacizumab for early-stage HCC. *Journal of Clinical Oncology*, 41(16_suppl), TPS4176. https://doi.org/10.1200/JCO.2023.41.16_suppl.TPS4176

29. Sheervelly, R., Kumar, V., Kar, S., & Banerjee, S. (2024). Metabolic reprogramming in tumor microenvironment and its implication for hepatocellular carcinoma immunotherapy. *Cancer Letters*, 587, 216673. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.canlet.2024.216673

30. Shi, D., Shi, Y., Kaseb, A. O., Qi, C., Zhang, Y., Zhao, Y., ... & Wang, H. (2020). Chimeric antigen receptor-glypican-3 T-cell therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: Results from a phase I trial. *Journal of Clinical Oncology*, 38(4_suppl), 345. https://doi.org/10.1200/JCO.2020.38.4_suppl.345

31. Sia, D., Jiao, Y., Martinez-Quetglas, I., Kuchuk, O., Villacorta-Martin, C., Villon, D. M., ... & Llovet, J. M. (2017). Identification of an immune-specific class of hepatocellular carcinoma based on molecular features. *Gastroenterology*, 153(3), 812–826. https://doi.org/10.1053/j.gastro.2017.06.034

32. Singham, E. J., Grek, C. L., McGowan, M., & Patts, G. (2021). Effects of direct-acting antivirals on the tumor immune microenvironment in hepatitis C-related hepatocellular carcinoma. *Hepatology Communications*, 5(10), 1689–1701. https://doi.org/10.1002/hep4.1756

33. Sung, H., Ferlay, J., Siegel, R. L., Laversanne, M., Soerjomataram, I., Jemal, A., & Bray, F. (2021). Global cancer statistics 2020: GLOBOCAN estimates of incidence and mortality worldwide for 36 cancers in 185 countries. *CA: A Cancer Journal for Clinicians*, 71(3), 209–249. https://doi.org/10.3322/caac.21660

34. TCGA Research Network. (2017). Comprehensive and integrative genomic characterization of hepatocellular carcinoma across diverse markets. *Cell*, 169(7), 1327–1341. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cell.2017.05.046

35. Wei, J., Yang, Y., Lu, M., Wu, J., Wang, X., Gong, J., ... & Zhang, L. (2022). Safety and efficacy of bispecific antibody QL1706 (PD-1/CTLA-4) in patients with advanced solid tumors: A phase I study. *Journal of Thoracic Oncology*, 17(9), S35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtho.2022.07.124

36. Yau, T., Park, J. W., Finn, R. S., Cheng, A. L., Mathurin, P., Edeline, J., ... & CHECKMATE 459 Investigators. (2019). Nivolumab versus sorafenib in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (CheckMate 459): A randomised, multicentre, open-label, phase 3 trial. *Lancet Oncology*, 23(1), 77–90. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1470-2045(21)00604-6

37. Zhang, X., Zhou, Y., Chen, C., Fang, W., Cai, W., Zhang, X., ... & Hu, B. (2022). Hepatitis B virus reactivation in cancer patients with chronic hepatitis B undergoing immune checkpoint blockade: A retrospective study. *Journal of Hepatology*, 76(3), 654–662. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhep.2021.10.012

38. Zhou, G., Sprengers, D., Boor, P. P. C., Mok, M., Alles, L. K., Kusters, J. G., ... & de Jonge, J. (2020). HBV-specific CD8+ T cells from patients with chronic HBV infection exhibit features of exhaustion and are a target for PD-1/PD-L1 blockade. *Gut*, 69(4), 686–698. https://doi.org/10.1136/gutjnl-2019-318976